The quarterly reports continue to roll in and our team has had an ear to the conference calls all week, parsing out profits from puffery. Here’s a rundown of what we’ve learned about the state of CPG over the past week (or so): Outlooks Are (Pretty Much) Down All Around: 2025 financial outlooks will likely fall short of previously posted expectations, said the minds behind top CPGs like Kraft, PepsiCo, Hain, B&G Foods and WK Kellogg. Executives pointed to softened consumer demand, uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment – including both tariffs and regulatory actions like a food dye phase out – and higher supply chain costs as the reason for the rather unfavorable, anticipated outcomes. Laird, Post and Hershey are among the few outliers, with all three either upping or maintaining expectations. Laird and Post pointed to the continued strength of their plant-based dairy products (more on that in a moment) while Hershey simply reiterated guidance while putting a heavy asterisk next to the fact it hasn’t worked in the impact of looming tariffs (which, it noted, could cost the candy co anywhere between $15 million and $20 million in the next quarter). Snack Sales Soften: Hain, PepsiCo, Kraft and others joined Conagra and General Mills this quarter, where the once-mighty snack segment has proven to be a softer sales driver than before. Hain even highlighted that two-thirds of its overall sales decline this quarter came from softness in snacking. Hershey once again stood out from the pack, claiming growth in its Salty Snack set (which includes SkinnyPop, Dot’s Pretzels and Pirate’s Booty) helped offset declines in other segments. The company’s recently announced intent to buy up better-for-you snack brand LesserEvil could also give it an added boost at least in the near term. Plant-based Problems? Only when the producer works in alt-proteins. The plant-based dairy industry is having a fine time with Laird and SunOpta both posting double-digit gains – the former reported an 18% net sales increase, and the latter, a 12% boost in volume growth. Even Hain pointed to its plant-based dairy business as a bright (read: growing) spot among its otherwise “disappointing” results. But over at Beyond Meat, it was a “particularly dark quarter,” per founder and CEO Ethan Brown. The company posted a 9.1% sales decline and 11.2% drop in volume year-over-year. Those results came through just a day after mycelium-based alt-meat maker Meati sold for just $4 million, despite raising $450 million during its eight years in operation. Dig deeper into each report rundown on Nosh. |