Summer is a time for sun, surf and, in our case, scanning piping hot reams of beverage sales data from NielsenIQ.
With overall dollars up 4.2% in June, it’s been an auspicious start to the season, but where do things go from here? Before our eyes glaze over with digits and symbols, we are here to offer a few thoughts on the latest tranche of numbers. If consumers are worried about recent claims disputing Poppi’s good-for-your-gut reputation, they aren’t showing it at the register. - In the weeks since the Texas-based company was hit by a widely publicized class action lawsuit, it has continued to perform, driving +147.8% volume growth in the four-weeks ended June 29, a nice jump over the 12-week gains (+129.9%) and ahead of its full 52-weeks numbers, though pricing has been trending downward over the past month.
Meanwhile, Poppi’s main rival Olipop continues to blissfully coast along, posting more four-figure sales gains in June. Nielsen doesn’t have info for Culture Pop or other players outside the top two, but indicators suggest its status quo for the time being: among soda drinkers, “digestive health” was the third-most mentioned need state on social media conversations in June, according to data from The Brightfield Group. Just around a year ago, a bottle of PRIME was basically an express pass to the cool kids’ lunch table at middle schools around the country. - Its two-year stack numbers still look strong, but this summer Logan Paul’s sports drink has been drifting: against the backdrop of drama with distributors – volume (-26.2% for the four-weeks) and price (-1.4%) both continue to fall.
More worrying for the brand, its distro woes have arrived just as its immediate competitors have hit their stride in stable, established networks: KDP partner Electrolit soared in June (+34.8 volume on +4.6% pricing), Mark Anthony Brands’ splashy Lionel Messi collaboration is just starting to move through DSDs like Reyes and Gold Coast, and we expect GHOST’s hydration drinks (distributed via Anheuser-Busch affiliates) and Lemon Perfect to make a greater impact on the sales charts as the year rolls on. The shifting investment landscape in CPG has been a major discussion point over the past 18 months as investors have become more cautious about deploying their dollars. That might be one lens from which to view the sales data: we’re thinking brands like Spindrift, the subject of sale speculation earlier this year, continuing to grow volume (+28.3% in the four-weeks) and dollar sales ($226.6M). On the other end of the spectrum, Kitu Life’s recent management moves haven’t stopped it from bleeding volume (-58.8%) and sales (-37.1% to $26 million), numbers that are sure to concern existing and future investors. Could the second half of the year see more smaller-scale, selective M&A activity? A report from FABID suggests conditions could be right for choosy investors, as Q1 2024 saw average investment dollars increase but to a smaller group of recipients. Go Deeper: Non-Alc Beverage Sales Decelerate in Late June. |