Labor Day is behind us, so let’s put away the white linens and bust out the ready-to-drink sales data. Who won the summer? Who is winning 2024?
Overall, spirits- and wine-based RTD dollar sales are still growing double-digits, but slowed by more than half from +44% last year at this time to +20% year-to-date (YTD) through July 27 in NIQ-tracked off-premise channels. Little has changed at the top: the top five spirit- and wine-based RTD suppliers account for two-thirds of total RTD dollars, according to a new report from Bump Williams Consulting. Also nothing surprising: New-to-world brands (brand families that didn’t exist before RTDs) represent the majority of dollar share, with High Noon still leading. But Gallo’s golden child has dropped nearly a share point of total RTD dollars YTD, while the other 16 new-to-world brands among the top 30 RTDs picked up a collective +7.4 points. Among this group, BeatBox, Surfside, VMC, Big Sipz, and Carbliss have the largest share gains. How? We know Surfside took its hard tea to new heights with additional flavors and distro this spring. We’ve also zeroed in on BeatBox’s big bet for 2025 (a product and a partnership with Shaq) after achieving triple digit growth in 2024 and No. 1 single-serve status in c-stores. Big Sipz seems like it's aiming to carve out share from another uniquely-shaped, high-ABV, budget favorite. Meanwhile Mexican world champion boxer, Saul “Canelo” Alvarez’s VMC came out swinging around this time last year and is achieving sales velocities in Hispanic retailers three times higher than all other retailers, and three times higher than the total retail average, based on Circana data for the rolling 10-month period ending May 31. The team has been methodically expanding, but the brand's priority continues to be connecting with Mexican-American consumers, said Britt West, EVP and general manager of Gallo. Tequila-based seltzers are one of the winners of 2024, according to Zach Poelma, senior vice president of strategy and insights at Southern Glazer’s Wine & Spirits, with “tropical flavors and vibrant marketing campaigns” driving success. Another trend? Among low-cal and low-sugar segments, zero-sugar products are resonating with health-conscious consumers, especially Gen Z and Millennials, and higher-income groups compared to average spirits shoppers, said Poelma. That would hint at Carbliss’s growth. Poelma also said the West and East Coasts also show a preference for flavored margaritas, including passion fruit, spicy, and coconut varieties. As for the future, the category is maturing (High Noon is five years old now, yipes!) and there are now 3,000 spirit- and wine–based RTD items selling— so retailers are going to be busy decluttering as they head into resets. Dive deeper into the data. |