The strength of the U.S. economy rests in the hands (or wallets) of consumers, according to the March edition of the National Retail Federation’s Monthly Economic Review. All eyes are on “how consumers will respond the next few months to the Federal Reserve’s ongoing efforts to tame inflation,” the report states. “While inflation is down from its peak, it has slowed less than expected and is still an important problem that remains to be solved.” The federal Consumer Price Index (CPI) clocked the January inflation rate at 3.1% year-over-year, down from 3.4% and about a third of the 9.1% peak in June 2022; yet still far from the Fed’s 2% target. On the bright side, the CPI calculated that commodity-based prices (including retail goods) were up only 0.1% YoY in January; whereas, prices for services were up 4.9% over the same period. That’s not to say consumers are still not feeling the pinch at checkout – a pinch that has even caused President Biden to rail against “shrinkflation” during last night’s State of the Union speech. Some states even have attempted to provide relief by rewriting tax laws, cutting grocery fees and garnering mixed reactions along the way. Last week, Oklahoma’s State Senate passed a bill (HB 1955) to eliminate the state's 4.5% grocery tax. Illinois’ Governor J.B. Pritzker also signaled an appetite for eradicating the state’s grocery tax. While Tennessee state leaders are keen on the idea, they’ve taken a much more fractional approach. The Volunteer State is weighing a proposal to give control over grocery taxes to counties and municipalities. This would allow local leaders to decide on tax reductions while weighing how they might impact community services and infrastructure projects. In the grand scheme of grocery tax cuts, Tennessee's approach may be the most common sense. A group of Illinois mayors and state representatives have expressed concern with Illinois Gov. Pritzker’s plan, saying it is “unacceptable” and will cost local governments millions of dollars. “This is not a tax cut. It’s a political shell game,” said state rep Martin McLaughlin (R- Ill.) during a press conference. |